A prominent Polish market analyst has publicly apologized after his latest Bitcoin outlook collapsed within weeks, sparking a debate on social media.
Robert Luzawa, known online as El Profesor, admitted that his plan was wrong and published a detailed breakdown explaining the mistakes behind the failed scenario.
Analysts break industry norms by admitting their mistakes
Cryptocurrency commentators often emphasize their wins and remain silent when their predictions come off. Lusawa took the opposite approach.
He initially announced the following predictions: “The Plan” We outline Bitcoin's bullish trajectory based on market fractals, the 50-week EMA, and the seasonal movement often referred to as the “Santa rally.”
Original post from analyst
According to his model, Bitcoin was expected to maintain its uptrend and provide opportunities to take long positions at certain technical levels.
Reassessment required due to market reversal
But it took only three weeks for the market to dismiss that vision. Bitcoin fell below the major zones, invalidating the entire bullish structure.
On November 21, Lusawa spoke directly about the failed call, writing:
“I failed… I'm sorry to everyone who followed this plan. I know where I went wrong.”
He later explained that he always has two scenarios: bullish and bearish. The first one went from about $116,000 to $94,700. A deeper decline reinvigorated his bearish outlook.
He emphasized that it is important to respond to market changes rather than sticking to a single direction.
What went wrong with “The Plan”?
Ruszała then published a technical breakdown of the error. He pointed out several indicators that are incorrectly ranked from a probability perspective.
That erroneous order misjudged Bitcoin's potential movement, he said.
The analyst later explains why his prediction was wrong
Although this post did not cause much controversy, it did spark discussion among traders. Some users praised his transparency, pointing out that few analysts publicly analyze their own mistakes.
His answer highlights a broader reality in the crypto market. Even the most carefully constructed scenarios require continuous modification, and the market can still surprise even the most experienced experts.
Polish Crypto Analyst Apologizes After Failed Bitcoin 'Santa Rally' Prediction This post was first published on BeInCrypto.
