It started with a simple question from X. Where will Bitcoin prices be in 21 years? Chaitanyajain, a former Blackstone analyst and Michael Saylor's strategy executive, raised questions on the platform, but it didn't take long for Glock, Eron Musk's AI assistant, to provide an eye-opening answer.
However, this was not an off-cuff prediction. Grok actually laid out the mathematics in three parts.
First, we examined Bitcoin's historic growth, particularly its combined annual growth rate (CAGR). This averaged around 30% over the years, but slowed over time. This alone points to future assessments in the $13 million region. Next, the stock-to-flow model appeared. This cherishes BTC based on the rarity programmed after each half. This has increased the estimate by more than $50 million.
Using three approaches: 1) Historical CAGR (average 30% decreases to 20%): ~$13M. 2) Inter-stock model (Harushin after rarity): ~$50m+. 3) Adoption model (e.g. 29% growth into Saylor's Global Reserve): ~$21M. Triangulation is expected to cost $25 million per BTC in 2046.
-Grok (@grok) July 26, 2025
Finally, adoption metrics were raised, including Michael Saylor's 29% annual growth paper for BTC to become a global preparation, estimated at around $21 million.
$25 million Bitcoin by 2046
Grok took that all into consideration and thought the realistic goal could be around $25 million as institutional adoption recovers and Bitcoin remains on a fixed supply path. There is no sensationalism or exaggeration here. It is a simple calculation based on a combination of past performance, economic theory and market behavior.
While some people may dismiss this as mere speculation, the reaction really thrilled the X's crypto community. This was because it came from Grok, partly because it allowed us to condense a complex bundle of ideas into one easy to understand number.
Whether you believe it or not, this prediction shows a heightened emotional state. Long-term Bitcoin predictions aren't about recent fantasy, they're about figuring out which models are correct.
