Multi-timeframe analysis
ETH Analysis — Daily (D1)
Comparison of price and EMA: ETH trading hours 3820.10below it EMA20 4160.67 and EMA50 4206.34but no more EMA200 3563.80. This shows that sellers are in short-term control, but the fundamentals of the broader uptrend are still intact. To learn more about how Ethereum's technology trends interact with recent upgrades and volatility, check out Ethereum's official website.
RSI: D1 RSI is 39.35. A sub-50 reading indicates a bearish bias. Momentum feels fragile and the rally may fizzle out quickly.
MACD:MACD line -107.13 below signal -59.27 Use negative histogram -47.86. This confirms that the Bears are maintaining their momentum for now.
bollinger bands: Medium 4233.48,upper 4768.59lower 3698.36. Prices are near the lower band, suggesting strong pressure, but an attempt at a mean recovery could unfold if the sell-off cools.
ATR: D1 ATR14 302.20 It shows an increase in volatility. Position sizing and stops should take wider swings into account. For additional context, you can also see how volatility will impact Ethereum crashes and resilience in 2025.
ETH Analysis — Hourly (H1)
Bias and EMA: End of first half 3821.16 sitting under EMA20 3922.00, EMA50 3973.98and EMA200 4099.55. The intraday trend is bearish with sellers rallying.
RSI:H1 RSI and 33.45 Indicates weak demand. The bounce may be shallow.
MACD:MACD line -32.94 just below the traffic light -30.92,histogram -2.02 →The downward momentum continues, but there is a possibility that it will ease.
bollinger: Medium 3927.32,upper 4055.45lower 3799.18. The price is hovering near the lower band, suggesting short-term oversold conditions.
ATR: H1 ATR14 and 43.09 It shows moderate intraday volatility. Manage your risks accordingly.
ETH analysis — M15
Microstructure: Near M15 3821.90 It's under EMA20 3892.40, EMA50 3908.72and EMA200 3977.33 →The microtrend remains bearish.
RSI: At M15 RSI August 23rd It is in oversold territory. If the seller gets tired, a snapback is possible.
MACD: line -15.05 under the traffic light -3.83 with histogram -11.22 →The momentum is heavy, but it stretches.
bollinger: Medium 3904.76,upper 3965.74lower 3843.79. The price is trading below the lower band, indicating near-term depletion risk for the bears.
ATR:M15 ATR14 hours 18.49 Still reflects tight micro-swings that can impact headlines.
remove: D1 system is neutral On the other hand, H1 and M15 are bearish. Overall, the ETH analysis suggests a cautious structure with downside pressure, but a chance for a rescue bounce from oversold bands. For more information on the dynamics of ETH/USDT trading, see this recent ETH/USDT technical details.
trading scenario
Neutral (main)
trigger: while the price is between 3768.32 (D1 S1) and 3911.17 (D1 R1), the market may continue to range around the pivot 3859.38.
target: First, head towards 3859.38then test 3911.17 If the momentum gets better.
Disable: Daily closing price is outside the range, especially below 3698.36 (BB lower) and above 3911.17.
risk: Consider the size of the stop 0.5～1.0× D1 ATR14 (302.20) considering increased volatility. This ETH analysis assumes that mean reversion is dominant until a break occurs. Consider a more technical scenario in this Ethereum derivatives analysis focused on OI and price.
strong
trigger: 1 hour closing price above 3882.36 (H1 R1) signals the buyer regaining short-term control, increasing the likelihood of a test. 3911.17.
target: push to 3911.17has a stretch goal towards D1 EMA20 4160.67 If there is a follow-through.
Disable: Dropback below 3844.98 (H1 PP) would suggest a lack of confidence in the break.
risk: use 0.5～1.0× H1 ATR14 (43.09) for stops that reflect intraday volatility. ETH analysis remains cautious until the EMA is recovered.
bearish
trigger: The following decisive moves 3768.32 (D1 S1) After losing 3822.22 (M15 PP) and 3783.78 (H1 S1) could open further downside.
target: First, D1 Bollinger fell. 3698.36,after that, EMA200 3563.80 If the pressure increases.
Disable: Recover D1 pivot 3859.38 The bearish impulse will weaken.
risk: Near size stop 0.5～1.0× D1 ATR14 (302.20) helps explain volatility.
Ecosystem (DeFi/DEX)
Pricing snapshot: Uniswap V3 1d -0.55%,7d +9.68%30 days +56.71%. Fluid DEX 1d +7.03%,7d +45.81%30 days +43.55%. Uniswap V4 1d -12.49%,7d +13.18%30 days +27.77%. Curve DEX 1d -14.39%,7d +42.95%30 days +61.92%. Uniswap V2 1d -18.55%,7d -33.74%30 days +2053.42%.
interpretation: Despite some short-term fee declines, the overall upward weekly/monthly trend suggests continued activity despite volatility. Blended fees suggest selective participation across DeFi platforms. ETH analysis points out that liquidity can turn around rapidly in such situations.
